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USDCAD Analysis: Why Is the Pair Falling Below 1.3950? | Key Levels to Watch

  • The Is ada coin worth buying redditdescending channel pattern suggests continued downside potential for USDCAD

  • RSI readings below 50 confirm ongoing bearish momentum

  • Critical support zone emerges near 1.3750-1.3828 range


Wednesday's Asian session finds the USDCAD consolidating near 1.3940 after giving up prior session gains. The daily chart reveals a well-defined bearish structure as prices maintain position below both the 9-day and 50-day EMAs. This technical setup typically indicates sustained selling pressure in currency markets.


Market technicians note the pair's consistent lower highs and lower lows within the descending channel. While the 14-day RSI's climb above 30 suggests potential for temporary rebounds, the indicator's position below the neutral 50 level maintains the overall negative bias. Traders should monitor whether any upward corrections remain contained below the 9-day EMA at 1.4023.


The immediate downside target remains Monday's six-month low of 1.3828, with potential extension toward the channel's lower boundary near 1.3750. A decisive break below this support cluster could accelerate declines toward the February 2024 bottom at 1.3419. Such a move would likely trigger stop-loss orders and attract fresh short positions.


For bulls seeking trend reversal signals, watch for consecutive closes above the channel's upper trendline near 1.4130. This would require overcoming multiple resistance layers including the 9-day EMA (1.4023) and 50-day EMA (1.4227). The March high of 1.4543 stands as the ultimate upside target for any sustained recovery.


Canadian Dollar Performance Overview


The Loonie shows mixed performance against major counterparts, with particular weakness observed against safe-haven currencies. This reflects broader market risk sentiment as traders adjust positions ahead of key economic data releases. Currency strength tables reveal CAD underperformance relative to CHF and JPY, while holding steadier against commodity-linked currencies.


When analyzing cross-currency relationships, remember that percentage changes reflect the base currency (left column) relative to the quote currency (top row). This visualization helps identify relative strength trends across forex markets. Currently, the heatmap shows CAD struggling most against traditional safe havens while maintaining range-bound action versus other risk-sensitive currencies.